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This year we present the RBC Emerging Markets Equity team’s eleventh Outlook report.

After what has been a notably challenging year for emerging markets ("EM") equities, we use this report as an opportunity to reflect on the key developments within the asset class and set out our thinking for the environment ahead. We also look to address the key questions and concerns that we have been hearing from our clients.

In this year’s report, we cover a broad range of topics, from valuations and earnings, to EM growth, currencies and inflation. We also assess the relative outlook for EM countries, sectors and styles, focusing on those areas where we identify extremes. While our portfolio positioning continues to be driven by bottom-up stock picking and long-term structural views, we use our outlook to increase or decrease country and sector weights at the margin.

We also review developments within our portfolio themes. These themes help position our portfolios in areas of long-term structural growth which we feel is particularly relevant in the new environment, where low interest rates and easy money are now firmly behind us and growth will be increasingly challenging to come by.

Given the substantial weight of China within the MSCI EM Index, and thus its impact on the performance of the overall asset class, we dedicate a chapter to assessing the drivers behind China’s recent underperformance and lay out our thinking for its path ahead.

Finally, environmental, social and governance (“ESG”) factors and sustainability-related reforms are becoming increasingly important for countries in EM. In this report we highlight some positive developments in specific emerging countries in terms of ESG-related reforms.

We hope you enjoy our insights and we look forward to the year ahead.

For the full RBC Emerging Markets Equity Outlook, please contact: institutions@phn.com.

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This document is provided by RBC Global Asset Management (RBC GAM) for informational purposes only and may not be reproduced, distributed or published without the written consent of RBC GAM or its affiliated entities listed herein. This document does not constitute an offer or a solicitation to buy or to sell any security, product or service in any jurisdiction; nor is it intended to provide investment, financial, legal, accounting, tax, or other advice and such information should not be relied or acted upon for providing such advice. This document is not available for distribution to investors in jurisdictions where such distribution would be prohibited.

RBC GAM is the asset management division of Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) which includes RBC Global Asset Management Inc., RBC Global Asset Management (U.S.) Inc., RBC Global Asset Management (UK) Limited, RBC Global Asset Management (Asia) Limited, and BlueBay Asset Management LLP, which are separate, but affiliated subsidiaries of RBC.

In Canada, this document is provided by RBC Global Asset Management Inc. (including PH&N Institutional) which is regulated by each provincial and territorial securities commission with which it is registered. In the United States, this document is provided by RBC Global Asset Management (U.S.) Inc., a federally registered investment adviser. In Europe this document is provided by RBC Global Asset Management (UK) Limited, which is authorised and regulated by the UK Financial Conduct Authority. In Asia, this document is provided by RBC Global Asset Management (Asia) Limited, which is registered with the Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) in Hong Kong.

Additional information about RBC GAM may be found at www.rbcgam.com.

This document has not been reviewed by, and is not registered with any securities or other regulatory authority, and may, where appropriate and permissible, be distributed by the above-listed entities in their respective jurisdictions.

Any investment and economic outlook information contained in this document has been compiled by RBC GAM from various sources. Information obtained from third parties is believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made by RBC GAM, its affiliates or any other person as to its accuracy, completeness or correctness. RBC GAM and its affiliates assume no responsibility for any errors or omissions in such information.

Opinions contained herein reflect the judgment and thought leadership of RBC GAM and are subject to change at any time. Such opinions are for informational purposes only and are not intended to be investment or financial advice and should not be relied or acted upon for providing such advice. RBC GAM does not undertake any obligation or responsibility to update such opinions.

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Past performance is not indicative of future results. With all investments there is a risk of loss of all or a portion of the amount invested. Where return estimates are shown, these are provided for illustrative purposes only and should not be construed as a prediction of returns; actual returns may be higher or lower than those shown and may vary substantially, especially over shorter time periods. It is not possible to invest directly in an index.

Some of the statements contained in this document may be considered forward-looking statements which provide current expectations or forecasts of future results or events. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance or events and involve risks and uncertainties. Do not place undue reliance on these statements because actual results or events may differ materially from those described in such forward-looking statements as a result of various factors. Before making any investment decisions, we encourage you to consider all relevant factors carefully.

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