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After years of low prevailing levels of inflation, investors are now starting to consider the impact that potentially higher inflation may have on their portfolios. The risk of inflation is real, for at least four main reasons:
The economic impact of the pandemic has led central banks around the globe to cut interest rates and buy bonds to inject money into the economy and support growth.
The substantial fiscal stimulus response by governments has rapidly increased the amount of money in the system, stoking demand.
The rapid development of multiple vaccines and a large global vaccination program means economic activity is expected to rise quickly through the summer and into the fall.
Central banks have stated they intend to allow inflation to run slightly hotter than usual before raising interest rates.